The more I look around and work on what a Juan Soto trade will look like, the more I realize that no one, NO ONE, knows true player values or how pro sports trade’s really work.
They never get trade’s right.
TAKE THIS TRADE I DID ON MLB TRADE VALUES TO PROVE IT FOR EXAMPLE:
EXCUSE ME? Volpe doesn’t have half the trade value that Juan Soto has but they have him with OVER 3 times as much. WHAT?
Compare that to this one from a different website:
WHAT? How is this one so drastically different?
The kicker? NEITHER ARE CORRECT THOUGH!
In all actuality no website has ever nailed a trade actually done in real (“SCRIPTED”) life.
When you think about MLB and sports trading in general, always keep in mind every team values players at different levels thus there can be no set score on any player.
SO WHAT WILL A JUAN SOTO TRADE ACTUALLY LOOK LIKE:
Well for starters the Yankees are going to be the main team involved with the Padres.
The Padres have an exact plan on what they want for him. The Yankees match that perfectly.
So the Yankees offer WILL START WITH OF Everson Pereira, and INF Anthony Volpe. THE YANKEES ARE FINE WITH THIS FOR SOTO!
The Padres need a Soto replacement and their 2B Ha-Seong Kim is a FA leaving a gaping hole. Volpe fills that perfectly.
Then add in some top pitching prospects/MLB controllable pitching like Thorpe, and Nestor Cortes.
Then throw in a prospect that perfectly fits the Padres like Andres Chaparro or Tyler Hardman.
Then you end up with this:
OF Everson Pereira, INF Anthony Volpe, RHP Drew Thorpe, LHP Nestor Cortes, 1B Tyler Hardman
OF Juan Soto + EXTENSION (Believed to be in the area of 12 years $480 Million to be offered if Yankees land him. Likely incentive laden as well to protect both Soto and the Yankees.)
Then you have a solid, SOLID trade both ways.
You have to think like an MLB team.
The Padres are looking to shed $!
The Yankees are looking for a MIDDLE OF THE LINUP IMPACT LEFTY BAT to pair with Judge.
This makes perfect sense for both.
Again you have to think like a MLB GM/President of baseball ops.
You have to ask yourself what does each team involved want and need?
Then you can come up with a realistic trade scenario.
Yes there are rigged trade’s/FA signing’s the league’s force for the surprise effect and value. These cannot be predicted. This will not be one of them.
BY: Adam King